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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -1.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-1.3 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$21.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,949
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.15M volume · 188 trades · since Jun 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$105.9k
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$101.4k
Closed-position win rate
95%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
144d
58 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +25.5 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -28.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 75¢ | $10.0k | called |
 Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $11.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x626138…