← Wallets
+$35.3kNo · avg 48¢ → 87¢ · $77.9k+$2,372No · avg 83¢ → 86¢ · $62.7k+$2,216No · avg 81¢ → 86¢ · $39.1k+$815No · avg 92.2¢ → 94.5¢ · $32.9k · 1 proven with, 0 against−$534No · avg 83¢ → 81¢ · $20.0k+$676No · avg 85¢ → 89¢ · $14.3k+$357No · avg 90¢ → 93.5¢ · $9,448+$35No · avg 89¢ → 90¢ · $8,055
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +2.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+2.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$93.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$280.1k
Last 30 days +$16.9k · $10.91M volume · 11,608 trades · since Nov 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$304.4k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$93.3k
Closed-position win rate
62%
231 closed
Wallet age · markets
710d
259 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +2.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 83¢ | $31.5k | called |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $61.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5739dd…