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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
BUY Yes @ 19¢ · 85,103 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wan123 took Yes (buy) for $16.0k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 19¢ means
19%chance the market gave
+433American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 19¢
- Implied odds
- 18.8%
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 10:16 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x331692be…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $51.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $66.1k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $31.1k | excluded |