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What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?excluded
$13.7k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 13,702 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet tetrase took No (sell) for $13.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$13.7k
Placed
Aug 18, 18:48 EDT
Market close
Aug 18, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0x863d48e2…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $13.7k WHALE $13.7K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% Seutervoinen66d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $34.9k100% zb867d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $51.8k
2.1× usual
0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM72d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $66.1k100% loliti73d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $31.1k99% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM74d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ $29.2k3% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM79d agoexcluded