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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -19.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-19.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$940.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$73.4k
Last 30 days −$53.4k · $22.65M volume · 24,465 trades · since Feb 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.71M
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$45.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
247d
1330 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -19.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 33¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 62¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
 Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 71¢ | $59.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 53¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Rams @ 64¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 43¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $40.5k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | MED BUY Team Falcons @ 42¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Panthers @ 32¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | MED BUY Broncos @ 48¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW SELL Giants @ 72¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Texans | LOW BUY Texans @ 80¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW BUY Cardinals @ 75¢ | $29.2k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 87¢ | $66.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Steelers vs. Browns | MED SELL Browns @ 78¢ | $71.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Steelers vs. Browns | MED BUY Browns @ 65¢ | $58.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 56¢ | $58.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Raiders vs. Saints | MED SELL Raiders @ 97¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 89¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Falcons @ 31¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 41¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
 Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08? | MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW SELL KT Rolster @ 99.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | LOW SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23? | LOW BUY No @ 28¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | LOW BUY No @ 19¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $37.4k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 38¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY KT Rolster @ 33¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
 Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
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