US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $3.28M 58 flags |
none | $130.4k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $812.8k 30 flags |
$14.7k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $43.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $208.3k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $608.4k 12.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $32.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $100.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $113.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $211.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $53.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $35.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $42.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $130.4k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $54.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $85.4k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $545.6k 11.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $62.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $51.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $52.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $50.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $32.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $60.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $75.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 96.2¢ | $57.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $33.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $49.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $47.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 88 whale trades on this market totalling $4.10M from 61 wallets. The largest was $608.4k (buy No at 99.7¢). Most whale money ($3.28M) went to No. 58 of 88 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, FedMoneyPrinter ($1.36M), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+5.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (us-strikes-iran-by-february-24-2026).