← Wallets
−$6No · avg 81¢ → 80¢ · $897−$470Yes · avg 66¢ → 19¢ · $190
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -93.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-93.4 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$37.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$14.8k
Last 30 days −$303 · $5.76M volume · 29,384 trades · since Feb 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$674.3k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$271.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
260d
1777 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -93.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY No @ 93.4¢ | $12.7k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x005c2e…