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+$466No · avg 86¢ → 98¢ · $3,904+$9No · avg 93¢ → 94.5¢ · $567 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -66.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-66.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$121.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$289.7k
Last 30 days +$730 · $1.44M volume · 4,221 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$104.2k
Open P&L · 219 positions
−$13.0k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
359d
1485 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -66.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $46.2k | missed |
 Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $42.6k | excluded |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb0cbee…