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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$33.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$210
Last 30 days −$0 · $294.8k volume · 734 trades · since Jan 25, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$190
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$20
Closed-position win rate
78%
106 closed
Wallet age · markets
272d
105 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $10.9k | called |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.4k | missed |
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