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+$407Yes · avg 45¢ → 92.5¢ · $790+$1Yes · avg 8.9¢ → 9.3¢ · $29−$0Yes · avg 10¢ → 10¢ · $23
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$67.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$39.4k
Last 30 days +$384 · $1.34M volume · 2,057 trades · since Oct 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$80.7k
Open P&L · 33 positions
−$41.3k
Closed-position win rate
91%
67 closed
Wallet age · markets
738d
97 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x498515…