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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
SELL No @ 98.1¢ · 20,355 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Teatree took No (sell) for $20.0k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 1.9%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 18:43 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Teatree
- Tx
- 0xc4d8a838…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k 2.5× usual |
excluded |