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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$601.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$133.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.51M volume · 666 trades · since Feb 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.4k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$159.9k
Closed-position win rate
65%
23 closed
Wallet age · markets
249d
25 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $69.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $56.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $48.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $142.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $118.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $94.6k | excluded |
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