← Wallets
−$5,363Yes · avg 36¢ → 17¢ · $4,637
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$187.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.5k
Last 30 days +$498 · $636.5k volume · 28 trades · since Oct 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$1,465
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$24.6k
Closed-position win rate
82%
11 closed
Wallet age · markets
380d
18 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $51.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.4¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $49.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $20.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4025c1…