← Live flags
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Resolved: No
Flags
80
Net whale flow → Yes
−$1.81M
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $2.15M 58 flags |
$200.9k 3 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $303.1k 19 flags |
none | none |
| Yes | $38.6k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $200.8k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $49.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $42.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $134.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $103.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $105.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $29.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $250.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 97¢ | $77.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $74.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $77.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 90¢ | $57.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 80¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $18.4k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 80 whale trades on this market totalling $2.49M from 49 wallets. The largest was $250.0k (buy No at 98.4¢). Most whale money ($2.15M) went to No. 58 of 80 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, everbased ($353.8k), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (us-strikes-iran-by-february-13-2026-721-759-497-124-197-797-992-641-418-789-676-262-791-574-169-647-275-931).