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0x4baf…5fdf

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$40.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$14.3k
Last 30 days +$904 · $1.42M volume · 1,488 trades · since Oct 06, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$384
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$13.9k
Closed-position win rate
81%
286 closed
Wallet age · markets
748d
289 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $22.0k97% 255d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $18.8k98% 257d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4baf42…