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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.73M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,334
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.51M volume · 27 trades · since Feb 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,935
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$601
Closed-position win rate
80%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
257d
14 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $338.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $340.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $103.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $250.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $350.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $300.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa67197…