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+$2,062No · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $5,562+$188No · avg 90.9¢ → 94.5¢ · $4,925 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$2,062Yes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $1,438+$1No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $183
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$12.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,031
Last 30 days +$53 · $814.3k volume · 2,515 trades · since Sep 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,220
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$189
Closed-position win rate
89%
297 closed
Wallet age · markets
754d
298 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
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