← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 10,164 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Atsegine took No (buy) for $10.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 22:41 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Atsegine
- Tx
- 0xce047b5c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.3 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $200.8k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |