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lichong358

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did +86.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+86.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$97.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$44.6k
Last 30 days −$4 · $800.4k volume · 671 trades · since Jan 24, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$8,769
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$58.3k
Closed-position win rate
72%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
273d
61 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.1+86.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $15.5k98% 242d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $15.5k14% 242d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $14.1k88% 251d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $14.0k0% 252d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $12.9k92% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% 259d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW BUY Down @ 98.8¢ $14.2k99% 260d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x01a0aa…