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What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on Down, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?excluded
$14.2k
BUY Down @ 98.8¢ · 14,370 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteCrypto

What happened

Wallet lichong358 took Down (buy) for $14.2k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Down. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8094American odds
$1.00paid per share if Down wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
98.8%
Size
$14.2k
Placed
Feb 05, 09:42 EST
Market close
Feb 05, 12:00 EST
Result
Down
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
lichong358
Tx
0xccc81e41…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+86.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
Down price · entry 98.8¢ · resolved Down
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.8¢ · $14.2k WHALE $14.2K @ 98.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW SELL Down @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% JohnVarvatos261d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW BUY Down @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% noreasapa261d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW BUY Down @ 99.9¢ $18.4k100% ZeinST261d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW BUY Down @ 99.8¢ $10.4k100% 0xc13e…fb8f261d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW BUY Down @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% OraculumNobius261d agoexcluded
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?LOW SELL Down @ 94.1¢ $19.9k6% yyzzrebirth261d agomissed