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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$90.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$19.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.17M volume · 1,773 trades · since Jan 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$19.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
71%
350 closed
Wallet age · markets
269d
325 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 91.5¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | LOW SELL Down @ 94.1¢ | $19.9k | missed |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | LOW BUY Down @ 97¢ | $20.5k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbfc0b1…