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What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.5k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 17,993 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet lichong358 took No (sell) for $15.5k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- Size
- $15.5k
- Placed
- Feb 23, 11:58 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lichong358
- Tx
- 0xb71b36b2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+86.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +86 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $26.9k | excluded |