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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$97.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$48.1k
Last 30 days −$21 · $434.2k volume · 636 trades · since Jan 22, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$20.8k
Open P&L · 69 positions
−$27.1k
Closed-position win rate
87%
119 closed
Wallet age · markets
276d
178 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 76¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2c7f02…