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What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.7k
BUY No @ 83¢ · 21,371 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x082b…ce49 took No (buy) for $17.7k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−488American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.0%
- Size
- $17.7k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 22:21 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x082b…ce49
- Tx
- 0xd66235b7…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-25.1 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $200.8k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |