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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded
$12.0k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 12,060 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet OkieDokiePeon took No (buy) for $12.0k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.5¢
Implied odds
99.5%
Size
$12.0k
Placed
Feb 13, 12:27 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
OkieDokiePeon
Tx
0x3aa8ea87…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.8k0% Incognitoo252d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.3k0% Yangtaolalala253d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 0x7d5d…91d8253d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $200.8k
5.2× usual
100% scout253d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $14.0k0% lichong358253d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% Atsegine253d agoexcluded