chong358

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$217.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$18.2k

Last 30 days −$60 · $1.69M volume · 1,152 trades · since Jan 09, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$18.2k

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

50%

105 closed

Wallet age · markets

288d

100 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢	$19.8k	1%	213d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 83¢	$10.5k	17%	239d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢	$14.6k	92%	242d ago	called
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 81¢	$15.2k	19%	242d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 85¢	$10.7k	85%	253d ago	missed
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$22.1k	100%	255d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 96¢	$17.3k	4%	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$11.3k	98%	257d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW SELL No @ 93¢	$20.5k	7%	257d ago	called
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY No @ 92¢	$20.5k	92%	259d ago	missed
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 80¢	$10.1k	20%	264d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$29.9k	0%	268d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢	$15.0k	97%	278d ago	called

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 98.8¢$19.8k

LOW chong358 · 213d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called

SELL No @ 83¢$10.5k

LOW chong358 · 239d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called

BUY No @ 91.9¢$14.6k

LOW chong358 · 242d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 81¢$15.2k

LOW chong358 · 242d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?missed

BUY No @ 85¢$10.7k

LOW chong358 · 253d ago

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$22.1k

LOW chong358 · 255d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 96¢$17.3k

LOW chong358 · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$11.3k

LOW chong358 · 257d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?called

SELL No @ 93¢$20.5k

LOW chong358 · 257d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?missed

BUY No @ 92¢$20.5k

LOW chong358 · 259d ago

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 80¢$10.1k

LOW chong358 · 264d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$29.9k

LOW chong358 · 268d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?called

BUY No @ 96.7¢$15.0k

LOW chong358 · 278d ago

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