← Live flags
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Resolved: Yes
Flags
66
Net whale flow → Yes
+$924.7k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $2.82M 36 flags |
$331.5k 3 wallets |
$749.0k 2 wallets |
| Not Yes | $1.42M 19 flags |
none | $564.4k 1 wallet |
| No | $493.7k 10 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $16.2k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $564.4k 24.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $185.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $398.8k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $37.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.1¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $404.9k 9.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $46.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $59.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 91.7¢ | $149.6k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 95¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 37¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 61¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $93.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $145.0k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $117.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $32.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 39¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $662.8k 10.7× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $71.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $75.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $96.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $239.0k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $262.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $40.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $100.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $18.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $12.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $47.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $18.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $96.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $13.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.0k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $75.9k 3.3× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $42.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $15.7k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 66 whale trades on this market totalling $4.75M from 50 wallets. The largest was $662.8k (buy Yes at 61¢). Most whale money ($2.82M) went to Yes. 37 of 66 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, surfandturf ($662.8k), has called 10 of 28 graded flags overall (-19.3 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-usa-aus-2026-06-19-usa).