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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +12.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+12.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$322.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$51.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.51M volume · 219 trades · since Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$56.9k
Open P&L · 37 positions
−$101.6k
Closed-position win rate
74%
74 closed
Wallet age · markets
187d
118 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5a662a…