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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 63¢ · 31,746 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x5a66…dcc2 took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−170American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 63.0%
- As American odds
- −170 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 15:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5a66…dcc2
- Tx
- 0xe59cfa02…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+12.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +37 ptsYes price · entry 63¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $564.4k 24.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $185.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $398.8k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |