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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?excluded
$15.3k
SELL Yes @ 97¢ · 15,738 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Anonymous11267 took Yes (sell) for $15.3k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
3.0%
As American odds
+3276 no vig
Size
$15.3k
Placed
Jun 19, 16:24 EDT
Market close
Jun 19, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Anonymous11267
Tx
0x61ba3833…

Entry to resolution

Grade -3 pts
Yes price · entry 97¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $15.3k WHALE $15.3K @ 97¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% Pbm7126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% gezecio126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $564.4k
24.9× usual
0% mooseborzoi LOSING126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $185.4k
4.9× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $398.8k
7.1× usual
0% NiNo999126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.3k0% tennischamp126d agoexcluded