0xef1b…8697

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$249.6k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$67.3k

Last 30 days −$17.2k · $9.05M volume · 2,111 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$485.7k

Open P&L · 61 positions

−$541.2k

Closed-position win rate

51%

296 closed

Wallet age · markets

575d

349 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen	LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢	$48.3k 2.9× usual	0%	45d ago	excluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen	LOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 53¢	$10.6k	53%	45d ago	excluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	LOW SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 99.9¢	$16.6k	0%	53d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$20.3k	0%	126d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢	$11.8k	58%	126d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢	$21.2k	4%	126d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢	$13.7k	62%	126d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢	$26.0k	0%	154d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Thunder @ 67¢	$13.4k	67%	156d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	MED SELL Spurs @ 90¢	$57.0k 3.4× usual	10%	158d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Thunder	LOW BUY Spurs @ 41¢	$10.8k	41%	158d ago	excluded

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsenexcluded

SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢$48.3k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 45d ago

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsenexcluded

BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 53¢$10.6k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 45d ago

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockiesexcluded

SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 99.9¢$16.6k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 53d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$20.3k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 126d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?excluded

BUY Yes @ 58¢$11.8k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 126d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?excluded

SELL Yes @ 96¢$21.2k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 126d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?excluded

BUY Yes @ 62¢$13.7k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 126d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢$26.0k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 154d ago

Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 67¢$13.4k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 156d ago

Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 90¢$57.0k

MED 0xef1b…8697 · 158d ago

Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 41¢$10.8k

LOW 0xef1b…8697 · 158d ago

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