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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -36.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-36.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$118.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.29M volume · 746 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$34.7k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$30
Closed-position win rate
32%
88 closed
Wallet age · markets
353d
89 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -36.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 46¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $15.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7d1670…