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What this means. A wallet put $25.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.8k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 41,688 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ic4cream took Yes (buy) for $25.8k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- As American odds
- −163 no vig
- Size
- $25.8k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ic4cream
- Tx
- 0x20dce1d6…
This wallet's graded record
13/18+5.0 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $564.4k 24.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $185.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $398.8k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |