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LuckyLeif

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$86.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$44.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.20M volume · 5,446 trades · since Nov 22, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 400 closed
+$218.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1
Closed-position win rate
100%
400 closed
Wallet age · markets
337d
2769 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will France win on 2026-06-30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 115d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Over @ 76¢ $27.0k76% 124d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ $28.7k5% 126d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $18.4k61% 127d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x96ca2a…