← Live flags
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?missed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?missed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?called
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?called
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?called
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Resolved: Yes
Flags
48
Net whale flow → Yes
−$81.8k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $719.6k 24 flags |
$16.3k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not Yes | $630.7k 14 flags |
none | none |
| No | $209.7k 7 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $39.1k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ | $230.8k 6.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ | $103.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.6¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $16.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95.1¢ | $23.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $16.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90.5¢ | $60.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $11.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 91.1¢ | $32.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $18.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $27.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $18.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $12.7k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 71¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $24.1k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $23.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $21.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 28¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 65¢ | $92.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $15.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $12.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 60¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $47.7k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $20.2k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 35¢ | $33.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 38¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $12.5k | called |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?missedSELL Yes @ 96.1¢$16.9k
LOW coinfun · 130d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?missedSELL Yes @ 88¢$11.9k
LOW The-Joker · 131d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?calledBUY Yes @ 86¢$18.6k
LOW yungstalin · 131d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?calledBUY Yes @ 44¢$12.7k
LOW yungstalin · 134d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?calledSELL No @ 71¢$16.4k
LOW classified · 135d ago
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 48 whale trades on this market totalling $1.60M from 34 wallets. The largest was $230.8k (sell Yes at 99.4¢). Most whale money ($719.6k) went to Yes. 27 of 48 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, topdaddy1 ($275.3k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+18.1 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-july-31-2026-831-252).