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What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?called
$20.2k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 33,296 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet AllByMyseIf took Yes (buy) for $20.2k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−155American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
60.7%
Size
$20.2k
Placed
May 28, 10:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AllByMyseIf
Tx
0x00008892…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+1.5 pts
expected 4.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $45.0k0% noreasapa128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
3.1× usual
100% 0x3670…34f9128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.0k0% classified129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.3k100% locuspm129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $58.7k
2.5× usual
0% QuadrupleDouble129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $141.9k0% FallingStars129d agoexcluded