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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$240.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$21.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $532.5k volume · 256 trades · since Feb 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$21.2k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$100
Closed-position win rate
77%
13 closed
Wallet age · markets
243d
15 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $47.9k | excluded |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x367027…