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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.24M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.73M volume · 396 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$11.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
97%
108 closed
Wallet age · markets
175d
105 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $506.6k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.7¢ | $104.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $109.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ | $206.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ | $103.1k | excluded |
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