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What this means. A wallet put $32.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.4k
BUY Yes @ 91.1¢ · 35,517 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xe665…7d42 took Yes (buy) for $32.4k at an average 91.1¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1027American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.1¢
- Implied odds
- 91.1%
- Size
- $32.4k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 17:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe665…7d42
- Tx
- 0x809b37be…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+6.9 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +9 ptsYes price · entry 91.1¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |