← Wallets
−$500No · avg 83¢ → 81¢ · $20.2k+$401No · avg 90¢ → 94.5¢ · $8,417 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +6.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.9 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$149.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$12.6k
Last 30 days −$1,161 · $284.0k volume · 246 trades · since Nov 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$13.7k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$688
Closed-position win rate
100%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
330d
20 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +6.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $47.5k | called |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 91.1¢ | $32.4k | called |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $69.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe665f5…