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What this means. A wallet put $69.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
$69.8k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Crypto

What happened

Wallet 0xe665…7d42 took No (buy) for $69.8k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $69.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$69.8k
Placed
Jun 03, 18:44 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xe665…7d42
Tx
0x445cbb4e…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+6.9 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k100% Hans323142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $93.3k
3.1× usual
100% Slowroasted142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k
2.1× usual
100% Lolakis142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $351.6k100% BecauseNo NEW142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
7.9× usual
100% LlamaEnjoyer142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% veryverysure NEW142d agoexcluded