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What this means. A wallet put $47.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$47.5k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xe665…7d42 took No (buy) for $47.5k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $47.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $47.5k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 17:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe665…7d42
- Tx
- 0x864be729…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+6.9 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |