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Alpheo

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$72.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.5k
Last 30 days +$6,407 · $564.6k volume · 378 trades · since Jul 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$8,287
Open P&L · 8 positions
+$5,194
Closed-position win rate
80%
40 closed
Wallet age · markets
102d
48 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ $12.5k97% 65d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $34.0k0% 85d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $25.7k98% 101d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7eaa14…