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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$33.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$587
Last 30 days +$0 · $908.4k volume · 4,019 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$34.6k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$7,389
Closed-position win rate
82%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
236d
530 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe8795b…