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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?excluded
$25.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet bosshog took Yes (buy) for $25.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$25.0k
Placed
Jun 17, 00:16 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
bosshog
Tx
0x3f954c0c…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $25.0k WHALE $25.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $45.0k0% noreasapa129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
3.1× usual
100% 0x3670…34f9129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.0k0% classified129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.3k100% locuspm129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $58.7k
2.5× usual
0% QuadrupleDouble129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $141.9k0% FallingStars129d agoexcluded