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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
SELL No @ 60¢ · 18,981 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tkenmn took No (sell) for $11.4k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- Jun 04, 10:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tkenmn
- Tx
- 0xaa6b16bb…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-27.5 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |