← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
SELL Yes @ 88¢ · 13,505 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The-Joker took Yes (sell) for $11.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 18:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The-Joker
- Tx
- 0x39efcca4…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -12 ptsYes price · entry 88¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |