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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Yes @ 82¢ · 14,644 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 1610desktop took Yes (buy) for $12.0k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−454American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 81.9%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 17:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 1610desktop
- Tx
- 0x164bbff5…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+6.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsYes price · entry 82¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |