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What this means. A wallet put $18.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.5k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 36,753 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wan123 took Yes (buy) for $18.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−102American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.4%
- Size
- $18.5k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 15:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0xcacd8b20…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsYes price · entry 50¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |