← Wallets
−$2,281Yes · avg 4.1¢ → 2.2¢ · $2,769+$127No · avg 69¢ → 86¢ · $627−$482Yes · avg 7¢ → 3.6¢ · $518−$214Yes · avg 31¢ → 18¢ · $286−$780Yes · avg 10¢ → 2.2¢ · $220+$26No · avg 46¢ → 84¢ · $56
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -40.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-40.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$49.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$65.8k
Last 30 days −$2,975 · $511.9k volume · 336 trades · since Sep 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,574
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$70.4k
Closed-position win rate
66%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
408d
63 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -40.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x53977c…